4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,587 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,291/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$445
Tax + insurance
−$318
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$256/mo
Annual
$3,075/yr
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.94%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$23,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#661 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D-.
Tupper Lake Central School District (rural): math 36% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #561 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 1.7% in Tupper Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29