6 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,377 sqft ·
Built 1966
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,632/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,031
Tax + insurance
−$1,746
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,603
Net cashflow
$-1,748/mo
Annual
$-20,972/yr
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.51%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$322,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.15M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-21k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-874/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $841k (26.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $763k (33.6% below list).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.05M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $763k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $34k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#13 in NY, #301 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Hewlett-Woodmere Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #59 of 590 in NY (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $710k; list at $1.15M implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.3% in Valley Stream — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,632/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($142k/yr) (locally 346% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-MT0RJT82QS15JS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29