3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
920 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$943/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$264/mo
Annual
$3,166/yr
Cap rate
10.82%
Cash-on-cash
16.18%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#469 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Herman-Norcross School District (rural): math 50% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #150 of 467 in MN (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grant County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MTNW950RAFFAFH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29