2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
912 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$344/mo
Annual
$4,123/yr
Cap rate
14.55%
Cash-on-cash
29.48%
DSCR
2.31
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$13,986
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($875 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#937 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Mount Olive CUSD 5 (rural): math 16% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #483 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Mt Olive High School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 126 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mount Olive CUSD 5 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $50k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MVMKDX6PTGS7W6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29