2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
929 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,682/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$407
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$-782/mo
Annual
$-9,388/yr
Cap rate
3.61%
Cash-on-cash
-9.58%
DSCR
0.57
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-782 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (42.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (48.2% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (48.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#60 in OR, #2,085 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, cost of living D+.
Seaside SD 10 (town): math 11% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #53 of 58 in OR (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Pacific Ridge Elementary School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #301 of 412 statewide, top 74%, 597 students, 46% FRL); Seaside Middle School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #118 of 128 statewide, top 92%, 392 students, 0% FRL); Seaside High School (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #78 of 143 statewide, top 58%, 453 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 98 units permitted in Clatsop County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $278k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 2.5% in Seaside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-MWSY9K9J446270
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29