3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,646 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 105 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,697
Tax + insurance
−$539
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$-612/mo
Annual
$-7,346/yr
Cap rate
4.02%
Cash-on-cash
-8.11%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$90,608
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-612 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (21.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (31.4% below list).
It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 430 students, 61% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Marine Science Education Center (31 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 381 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MX94GB85N30VPM
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29