3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,520 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,737/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$294
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$575
Net cashflow
$242/mo
Annual
$2,909/yr
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.35%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (11.7% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $274k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: North Fayette Elementary School (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #523 of 1,228 statewide, top 43%, 603 students, 62% FRL); Flat Rock Middle School (math 35% / reading 55%, grade D, #103 of 470 statewide, top 23%, 883 students, 46% FRL); Sandy Creek High School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,188 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 21% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fayette County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $185k; list at $310k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MXQMJV33VB6R6B
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29