14474 Winding Creek Ln

Grand Haven, MI 49460

$62,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,012 sqft · Built 2021 · Manufactured · Pending · 48 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,634/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$325
• Tax + insurance: −$103
• HOA: −$670
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$343
• Net cashflow: $192/mo
• Annual: $2,307/yr
• Cap rate: 10.01%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.29%
• DSCR: 1.59
• 1% rule: 2.64%
• Cash to close: $17,360

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $62k).
• It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $60k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#69 in MI, #1,467 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
• West Ottawa Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
• Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 1.8% in Grand Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.