4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,236 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,991/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$354
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$418
Net cashflow
$228/mo
Annual
$2,736/yr
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.17%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $186k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#268 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Atchison Public Schools (town): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #154 of 169 in KS (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Atchison Elementary School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #537 of 684 statewide, top 79%, 703 students, 68% FRL).
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Atchison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atchison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MZ23X2DSX8VV2D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29