3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$937/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$197
Net cashflow
$267/mo
Annual
$3,203/yr
Cap rate
11.23%
Cash-on-cash
17.63%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($937 rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 45/100 on livability (#664 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
Madison Consolidated Schools (town): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #114 of 301 in IN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $46k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (8.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MZNGQ8CS5YCAT8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29