3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,275 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,036/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$140
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$428
Net cashflow
$17/mo
Annual
$204/yr
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.29%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($204/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (18.2% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $204k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#249 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Cumberland County (rural): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #59 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crab Orchard Elementary (math 24% / reading 25%, grade F, #546 of 952 statewide, top 61%, 458 students, 0% FRL); Stone Memorial High School (math 19% / reading 45%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 1,031 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 603 active listings in the ZIP; 114 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cumberland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $88k; list at $249k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.2% in Fairfield Glade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MZS3D3BMAT2V8G
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29