4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,396 sqft ·
Built 1990
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,964/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$348
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$622
Net cashflow
$27/mo
Annual
$328/yr
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.31%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($328/yr) — positive. Per door: $14/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $296k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Northwood Elementary (382 students, 92% FRL); Martin Luther King Jr. Technology Academy (469 students, 96% FRL); Grant Union High (2,040 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 76% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $375k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,964/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1877% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MZS4Q3BGW41SN4
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29