2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,406/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$295
Net cashflow
$-61/mo
Annual
$-736/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.38%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-736/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (26.0% below list).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#251 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, health & safety C-, schools D+.
Ocosta School District (rural): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #196 of 291 in WA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $190k implies a 533% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.4% in Westport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MZV5C1DYAA17RY
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29