3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,116 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$925/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$889
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$194
Net cashflow
$-283/mo
Annual
$-3,398/yr
Cap rate
4.29%
Cash-on-cash
-7.16%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.55%
Cash to close
$47,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-283 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (29.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (45.4% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $92k (45.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#240 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Weber City Elementary (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #171 of 1,108 statewide, top 17%, 362 students, 78% FRL); Gate City Middle (math 74% / reading 71%, grade A, #61 of 342 statewide, top 18%, 333 students, 78% FRL); Gate City High (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A-, #63 of 319 statewide, top 22%, 619 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 48% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $81k; list at $170k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29