1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
430 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Manufactured
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$766/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$161
Net cashflow
$87/mo
Annual
$1,042/yr
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.96%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($766 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#471 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Paoli Community School Corporation (town): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #200 of 301 in IN (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Throop Elementary School (math 36% / reading 36%, grade F, #577 of 994 statewide, top 59%, 712 students, 61% FRL); Paoli Jr & Sr High School (math 19% / reading 50%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 561 students, 55% FRL).
Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $75k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.0% in Paoli — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Worn paint on walls and trim
Major: Siding
— Weathered and discolored
Major: Flooring
— Worn wooden flooring
Major: Windows
— Standard windows, potential for energy loss
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29