3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,460 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,082/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$393
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$437
Net cashflow
$-190/mo
Annual
$-2,281/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.96%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-190 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (24.3% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#90 in MI, #2,044 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
Portage Public Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #67 of 540 in MI (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Woodland Elementary School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #484 of 1,397 statewide, top 38%, 376 students, 41% FRL); Portage Central Middle School (math 60% / reading 74%, grade A-, #31 of 493 statewide, top 6%, 740 students, 23% FRL); Portage Central High School (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #46 of 713 statewide, top 7%, 1,420 students, 16% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 37y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $136k; list at $275k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.3% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29