2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,092/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$370
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$649
Net cashflow
$1,286/mo
Annual
$15,435/yr
Cap rate
16.58%
Cash-on-cash
36.75%
DSCR
2.64
1% rule
2.06%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#132 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, commute B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $49k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 3.6% in La Plata — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N0A4RY86CT42Q6
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29