3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,160 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,324/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$357/mo
Annual
$4,289/yr
Cap rate
8.08%
Cash-on-cash
6.38%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (3.2% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $232k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#281 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Queen Anne'S County Public Schools (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #7 of 24 in MD (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 320 units permitted in Queen Anne's County in 2024 (56 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.2% in Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N0SV2J7CPF5K1C
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29