15 bd · 12.0 ba ·
2,064 sqft ·
Built 1952
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 309 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,758/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,140
Tax + insurance
−$998
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,419
Net cashflow
$1,201/mo
Annual
$14,408/yr
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.59%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$167,664
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $599k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $400/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $599k).
It's been on market 309 days — a 12% lower offer ($527k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $527k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #988 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Skycrest Elementary School (math 46% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,454 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 565 students, 80% FRL); Clearwater High School (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,664 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 48% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $601k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $245k; list at $599k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.9% in Clearwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 309 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N0TXC7DP58KSHY
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29