3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,632 sqft ·
Built 1890
· Other
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,325/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$315
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$631/mo
Annual
$7,569/yr
Cap rate
10.75%
Cash-on-cash
15.91%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-147 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#687 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Upper Adams SD (rural): math 33% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #298 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Biglerville El Sch (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 435 students, 51% FRL); Upper Adams Ms (math 17% / reading 48%, grade F, #355 of 512 statewide, top 70%, 271 students, 48% FRL); Biglerville Hs (math 62% / reading 24%, grade F, #215 of 437 statewide, top 50%, 529 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $170k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N1HBVY67BAS1NF
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29