2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
929 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$870/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$509
Tax + insurance
−$162
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$183
Net cashflow
$17/mo
Annual
$207/yr
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.76%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$27,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($207/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (10.3% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($671 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#328 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Checotah (town): math 32% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #72 of 270 in OK (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McIntosh County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Checotah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.