4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,006 sqft ·
Built 2006
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,433/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,389
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$511
Net cashflow
$91/mo
Annual
$1,097/yr
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.48%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$74,172
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $46/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (8.2% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $243k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#255 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Warren County (rural): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #48 of 165 in KY (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Oakland Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 380 students, 79% FRL); Warren East Middle School (math 23% / reading 40%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 487 students, 65% FRL); Warren East High School (math 22% / reading 31%, grade F, #174 of 254 statewide, top 69%, 1,031 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 42% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Warren County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 639 active listings in the ZIP; 2,286 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (1,410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.0% in Bowling Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,433/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 3855% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Landscaping
— The landscaping appears overgrown and could benefit from trimming and planting.
Minor: Curb appeal
— The lack of landscaping and curb appeal could be improved with some landscaping and curb appeal enhancements.
Minor: Flooring
— The carpeted flooring in the living room and kitchen could be replaced with hardwood or tile for a more modern look and increased value.
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