6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,174 sqft ·
Built 1918
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 315 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,220/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,307
Tax + insurance
−$650
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$886
Net cashflow
$377/mo
Annual
$4,521/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.67%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$123,172
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.2-bath units multifamily listed at $440k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $188/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $422k (4.1% below list).
It's been on market 315 days — a 12% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $387k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in CT, #505 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Meriden School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #116 of 153 in CT (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Roger Sherman School (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #358 of 553 statewide, top 65%, 475 students, 84% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 31% / reading 42%, grade F, #118 of 175 statewide, top 68%, 622 students, 81% FRL); Francis T. Maloney High School (math 20% / reading 45%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,264 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 61% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $185k; list at $440k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.0% in Meriden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,220/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 315 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N34RR134CK65E8
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29