2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
532 sqft ·
Built 1909
· Condo
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,534/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,120
Tax + insurance
−$788
HOA
−$764
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$952
Net cashflow
$-1,090/mo
Annual
$-13,086/yr
Cap rate
4.09%
Cash-on-cash
-7.85%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$166,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $595k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $402k (32.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $453k (23.8% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($577k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $402k (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $233k; list at $595k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,534/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 7824% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29