2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,338 sqft ·
Built 1956
· Other
· Pending
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$-189/mo
Annual
$-2,269/yr
Cap rate
4.96%
Cash-on-cash
-4.77%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (19.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (37.7% below list).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#587 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Leeton R-X (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #67 of 535 in MO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29