3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$870/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$293
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$183
Net cashflow
$327/mo
Annual
$3,922/yr
Cap rate
13.31%
Cash-on-cash
25.06%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.56%
Cash to close
$15,652
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($870 rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($386 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#905 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
South Iron County R-I (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #443 of 535 in MO (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: South Iron Elem. (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 130 students, 85% FRL); South Iron High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #356 of 521 statewide, top 71%, 164 students, 72% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Iron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iron County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N45JJ12NW0VD6B
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29