2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
432 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 341 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,095/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$-40/mo
Annual
$-482/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.15%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-482/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (4.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (26.9% below list).
It's been on market 341 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#155 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Limon School District No. RE-4J (rural): math 31% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #24 of 86 in CO (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Limon Elementary School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #277 of 966 statewide, top 31%, 215 students, 46% FRL); Limon Junior-Senior High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #141 of 381 statewide, top 39%, 242 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $150k implies a 328% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 341 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N492XJB6A7TE3G
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29