3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,089 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,239/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$378
Tax + insurance
−$504
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$97/mo
Annual
$1,167/yr
Cap rate
15.02%
Cash-on-cash
31.18%
DSCR
2.39
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$20,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $72k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $71k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Buchanan Elementary School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #224 of 646 statewide, top 37%, 456 students, 76% FRL); Glasgow Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #93 of 218 statewide, top 43%, 550 students, 60% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Baton Rouge Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N4HKPB261YDCHD
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29