4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,314 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,505
Tax + insurance
−$1,118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,730
Net cashflow
$4,647/mo
Annual
$55,766/yr
Cap rate
12.78%
Cash-on-cash
23.19%
DSCR
2.03
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$240,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $859k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($56k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $859k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#98 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Stamford School District (urban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #103 of 153 in CT (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Northeast School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #298 of 553 statewide, top 56%, 495 students, 40% FRL); Westhill High School (math 33% / reading 50%, grade F, #102 of 194 statewide, top 53%, 2,265 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask is 115% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $393k; list at $859k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $241k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.0% in Stamford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N4HXB86S72GRWT
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29