3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 195 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,057/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$282/mo
Annual
$3,386/yr
Cap rate
10.53%
Cash-on-cash
15.12%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#229 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Wilcox County (rural): math 2% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #127 of 129 in AL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: F S Ervin Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 191 students, 80% FRL); Camden School of Arts Technology (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #207 of 257 statewide, top 81%, 166 students, 100% FRL); Wilcox Central High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #261 of 305 statewide, top 87%, 394 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools at 93% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Wilcox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wilcox County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: wooden deck and porch
— slight wear
Minor: wooden flooring
— slight wear
Minor: interior walls/paint
— slight wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-N4JDDQ8Q7BGHXZ
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29