3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,364 sqft ·
Built 1820
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,992/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,858
Tax + insurance
−$738
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$838
Net cashflow
$-442/mo
Annual
$-5,308/yr
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.48%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$152,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $545k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-442 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $467k (14.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $399k (26.7% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($512k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $399k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $38k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hartland School District (rural): math 55% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #69 of 192 in CT (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1820 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $446k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1820 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N4NW304HT30346
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29