1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
480 sqft ·
Built 1981
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,139/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$383
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$-479/mo
Annual
$-5,748/yr
Cap rate
3.69%
Cash-on-cash
-9.31%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-479 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (36.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (40.0% below list).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (40.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#347 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Cocke County (rural): math 21% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #112 of 139 in TN (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Cocke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cocke County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.9% in Newport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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