1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
636 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 275 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$774/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$26
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$163
Net cashflow
$480/mo
Annual
$5,766/yr
Cap rate
35.12%
Cash-on-cash
102.96%
DSCR
5.58
1% rule
3.87%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($774 rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $738 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $600 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#197 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, schools F.
Dakota Prairie 1 (rural): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #72 of 169 in ND (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N5WEW31EBQ54HM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29