4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,143 sqft ·
Built 1922
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,679/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$367
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$563
Net cashflow
$596/mo
Annual
$7,152/yr
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.61%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $220k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $298/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in TX, #4,378 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, commute F.
Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.9% in Waco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,679/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 704% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Dated appearance and need for cleaning.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Slight wear on tiles and sink area.
Minor: Exterior siding
— Some wear visible on siding, could benefit from cleaning or repainting.
Moderate: Bedroom carpet
— Worn appearance, could be replaced or cleaned.
Minor: Interior paint
— Faded appearance in some areas, could be refreshed.
Minor: Landscaping
— Basic landscaping, could be improved for curb appeal.
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