919 Troy Ave

Hickman, KY 42050

$42,000B

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,770 sqft · Built — · Other · Active · 246 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,128/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$220
• Tax + insurance: −$46
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$237
• Net cashflow: $625/mo
• Annual: $7,504/yr
• Cap rate: 24.16%
• Cash-on-cash: 63.81%
• DSCR: 3.84
• 1% rule: 2.69%
• Cash to close: $11,760

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $42k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $625 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
• It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $37k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($290 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#308 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Fulton County (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #138 of 165 in KY (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Fulton County Elementary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #301 of 676 statewide, top 48%, 331 students, 75% FRL); Fulton County Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #189 of 217 statewide, top 89%, 134 students, 75% FRL); Fulton County High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #179 of 254 statewide, top 78%, 175 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP.
• Fulton County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.