3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 263 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,380/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$221
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$188/mo
Annual
$2,253/yr
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.19%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in ME, #1,653 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D-.
RSU 09 (rural): math 78% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #88 of 112 in ME (top 79%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Mt Blue Middle School (math 78% / reading 79%, grade A+, #69 of 85 statewide, top 82%, 488 students, 50% FRL); Mt Blue High School (math 87% / reading 95%, grade A+, #42 of 108 statewide, top 38%, 733 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $100k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.3% in Farmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Moderate: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear visible.
Moderate: windows
— The windows appear to be in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear visible.
Moderate: HVAC/mechanicals
— The HVAC and mechanical systems appear to be in fair condition, with some wear and tear visible.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N7KV9TEY8CGF7E
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29