19052 15th Rd

Culver, IN 46511

$84,900B-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,038 sqft · Built 1886 · SingleFamily · Pending · 171 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,039/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$445
• Tax + insurance: −$142
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$218
• Net cashflow: $234/mo
• Annual: $2,809/yr
• Cap rate: 9.60%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.82%
• DSCR: 1.53
• 1% rule: 1.22%
• Cash to close: $23,772

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
• It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#263 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Culver Community Schools Corporation (rural): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #236 of 301 in IN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Culver Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #434 of 994 statewide, top 48%, 415 students, 63% FRL); Culver Community Middle/High Sch (math 18% / reading 32%, grade F, #323 of 369 statewide, top 88%, 425 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 47% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 1.9% in Culver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: kitchen cabinets — severely worn and outdated
• Major: bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
• Major: flooring — dated and worn
• Major: interior walls — dated paint and paneling
• Major: landscaping — bare yard and overgrown areas