3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,026 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Manufactured
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,550/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$600
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$-42/mo
Annual
$-501/yr
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.63%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-501/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (6.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#86 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Parma District (rural): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #35 of 92 in ID (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Parma High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #72 of 169 statewide, top 47%, 334 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 52% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.4% in Parma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N84BFH8FRHD114
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29