4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,848 sqft ·
Built 1939
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,636/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$274
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$344
Net cashflow
$-293/mo
Annual
$-3,511/yr
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.02%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-293 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (20.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (34.6% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#373 in PA, #3,295 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, commute F.
Hanover Area SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #484 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hanover Green El Sch (308 students, 94% FRL); Hanover Area Memorial El Sch (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,323 of 1,518 statewide, top 89%, 310 students, 99% FRL); Hanover Area Jshs (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #365 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 930 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 48% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $37k; list at $250k implies a 576% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.8% in Hanover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29