2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,034 sqft ·
Built 1924
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 290 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$990/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$550
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$50/mo
Annual
$598/yr
Cap rate
7.50%
Cash-on-cash
4.30%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$29,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($598/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (5.6% below list).
It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($725 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#454 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
River Rouge School District (suburban): math 3% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #535 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; list at $105k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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