116 Frazier Rd

Galax, VA 24333

$95,000B-

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,423 sqft · Built 1978 · SingleFamily · Pending · 8 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,230/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax + insurance: −$163
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$258
• Net cashflow: $311/mo
• Annual: $3,730/yr
• Cap rate: 10.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.02%
• DSCR: 1.62
• 1% rule: 1.29%
• Cash to close: $26,600

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#327 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Galax City Public School District (town): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #64 of 131 in VA (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Galax Elementary (math 53% / reading 63%, grade C+, #583 of 1,108 statewide, top 53%, 686 students, 96% FRL); Galax Middle (math 52% / reading 70%, grade B+, #151 of 342 statewide, top 45%, 329 students, 101% FRL); Galax High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 378 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 57% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Galax city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Galax County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.7% in Galax — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.