2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,141/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$582
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$134/mo
Annual
$1,610/yr
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.18%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$31,080
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $111k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $111k).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($767 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#278 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
Daleville City (town): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #97 of 129 in AL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
13 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $85k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N9KD6Z196C9531
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29