2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,315 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,677/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$802
HOA
−$822
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$772
Net cashflow
$101/mo
Annual
$1,218/yr
Cap rate
9.11%
Cash-on-cash
10.06%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.63%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ojus Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 776 students, 63% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 573 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $225k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,677/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NA0TR05SC9J4GW
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29