4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,893 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,271/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$376
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$477
Net cashflow
$60/mo
Annual
$720/yr
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
0.99%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($720/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (12.3% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $227k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Project Accept Traice Es (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #695 of 845 statewide, top 84%, 558 students, 0% FRL); Monroe Demonstration Ms (math 0% / reading 2%, grade F, #344 of 345 statewide, top 100%, 688 students, 0% FRL); Booker T. Washington Hs (math 41% / reading 61%, grade D+, #2 of 447 statewide, top 0%, 1,280 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $124k; list at $259k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.8% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,271/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NA7AME8WFYTB95
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29