4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,176 sqft ·
Built 2010
· Manufactured
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,317/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$293/mo
Annual
$3,521/yr
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.94%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $534 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Hollandale School District (town): math 5% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #116 of 130 in MS (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NARH12DG5ZTPWB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29