3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,777 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Townhouse
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,487/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,744
Tax + insurance
−$453
HOA
−$352
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$522
Net cashflow
$-584/mo
Annual
$-7,003/yr
Cap rate
4.19%
Cash-on-cash
-7.52%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$93,100
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $332k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-584 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (31.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (25.2% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($313k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $229k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#17 in MN, #517 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Wayzata Public School District (urban): math 75% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #2 of 301 in MN (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $233k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.1% in Plymouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($171k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NASFXW4054BNCJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29