3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 2020
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$982/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$153/mo
Annual
$1,841/yr
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.31%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($982 rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Alba Public Schools (rural): math 0% / reading 0% proficiency, ranked #746 of 760 in MI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Antrim County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Antrim County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof is missing shingles or has significant damage
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and weathered
Major: interior walls/paint
— No interior walls or paint are visible, but the structure appears to be in poor condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-NBAYTK9DE07EVJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29