3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Manufactured
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,485/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$312
Net cashflow
$843/mo
Annual
$10,116/yr
Cap rate
24.69%
Cash-on-cash
65.69%
DSCR
3.92
1% rule
2.70%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#295 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Susan Moore Elementary School (math 17% / reading 40%, grade F, #382 of 627 statewide, top 61%, 634 students, 76% FRL); Susan Moore High School (math 6% / reading 29%, grade F, #189 of 305 statewide, top 62%, 481 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 46% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NBBSX333QCD7VS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29