2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1936
· Condo
· Pending
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,735/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$816
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,204
Net cashflow
$1,355/mo
Annual
$16,255/yr
Cap rate
10.08%
Cash-on-cash
13.53%
DSCR
1.60
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $450k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $450k).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $423k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#159 in NY, #2,451 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D-, cost of living F, health & safety D-.
Eastchester Union Free School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #42 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Greenvale School (math 88% / reading 88%, grade A+, #64 of 2,108 statewide, top 3%, 508 students, 0% FRL); Eastchester Middle School (math 56% / reading 76%, grade A-, #118 of 729 statewide, top 16%, 694 students, 0% FRL); Eastchester Senior High School (math 100% / reading 84%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 976 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 296 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $300k; list at $450k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.2% in Eastchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NBXPHCFA6TT20G
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29