3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
639 sqft ·
Built 1922
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 683 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,090/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$445
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$313/mo
Annual
$3,753/yr
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.79%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$23,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 683 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#553 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rockingham County Middle (math 45% / reading 48%, grade D+, #146 of 475 statewide, top 31%, 753 students, 51% FRL); Rockingham County High (math 67% / reading 50%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 882 students, 42% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 39% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Rockingham County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 251 active listings in the ZIP; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $12k; list at $85k implies a 608% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 683 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NBYXXK8CZ0P515
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29